Ukraine Official: Russia Intensifies Assault on Avdiivka

Image copyright: Ukrainian Defense Ministry [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

As another winter approaches Ukraine, it's clear that Russia will once again use the despicable tactic of bombing the country's civilian energy facilities as it did last year, making rolling blackouts a feature of daily life in Ukraine. The country's better prepared to deal with such attacks than 12 months ago — but Ukrainians should still expect to see Russian Pres. Putin's attacks coming.

Pro-Russia narrative

Attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure are a direct consequence of the failure of the country's leadership to meaningfully engage in peace talks and a mindset that they can defeat Russia on the battlefield. These attacks will stop once a more sober position is reached.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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