US Offers $5M Reward for Insight Into Ecuador Election Assassination

US Offers $5M Reward for Insight Into Ecuador Election Assassination
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The Facts

  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced Thursday a reward of up to $5M for information leading to the arrest of the masterminds behind the assassination of Ecuadorian presidential hopeful Fernando Villavicencio on Aug. 9.

  • This comes in the run-up to the Oct. 15 second round vote to determine Ecuador's next president, with Blinken claiming that the US would "continue to support the people of Ecuador" while "work[ing] to bring to justice" those who desired to "undermine democratic processes" via crime.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Washington is completely right to ramp up security cooperation with Quito to show that lawful methods do work against violent drug gangs to prevent Ecuador — and Latin America as a whole — from resorting to authoritarian ideas both from the right and the left, as the organized crime poses a significant threat to democracies below the Rio Grande.

Establishment-critical narrative

One must be disturbingly naive at best to believe that further US interference is what Ecuador needs after the killing of a presidential candidate who had long been a CIA asset. Though Villavicencio fabricated lies to boost the Russiagate invention and resolutely obstructed the impeachment of US-backed Guillermo Lasso, his candidacy had turned him into a liability for the Agency.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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