Venezuelan Gov’t Signs Agreement With Opposition in Barbados
teleSUR EnglishOct 17, 2023
The Facts
On Tuesday, the Venezuelan government and a faction of the opposition agreed to hold presidential elections in the second half of next year following the resumption of talks after a nearly year-long hiatus.
The agreement sets out 12 electoral conditions, including updating the electoral registry, enhancing balanced media coverage, and providing electoral guarantees for candidates who comply with the law and the constitution.
The Spin
Narrative A
The agreement is a significant success for Venezuela's future as a sovereign state. The fact that both sides agreed on political and electoral guarantees is also a victory for the Maduro government, as these provide the framework for peaceful elections under the Venezuelan constitution and without Western interference. However, what was achieved in Barbados is only the first step toward a much broader pact. Hopefully, the deal will provide Venezuela with long-term stability.
Narrative B
The agreement is a glimmer of hope for Venezuela, but it remains to be seen whether Maduro will follow through on the agreed-upon electoral process — including establishing a procedure to lift the bans that prevent his primary opponents from running. Given Venezuela's deep social and economic crisis, which the repressive regime is responsible for, let's hope Maduro doesn't try to hold onto power again through rigged elections — despite international observers. The international community must remain vigilant for the sake of Venezuela's future.
Nerd narrative
There's a 40% chance that there will be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.