France: Macron Names Michel Barnier as New Prime Minister

France: Macron Names Michel Barnier as New Prime Minister
Above: Michel Barnier, then European Union (EU) chief negotiator, gestures as he delivers a speech during a conference about "Brexit : divorce or fresh start" on April 16, 2021 in Le Touquet-Paris-Plage, France. Image copyright: Sylvain Lefevre/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

France has been struggling to find a way out of this political crisis, so there's no better name to take over as prime minister than Michel Barnier. Despite being little known in his own country, his proven negotiating skills and long experience in building consensus in Brussels will be key in dealing with a fractured National Assembly.

Right narrative

Macron's centrists and the French left joined forces in the snap elections to try to prevent the victory of the National Rally, but to no avail. Now that Barnier has been appointed as prime minister, it's clear that Le Pen's right-wing party is the political grouping that will need to be satisfied if the president really wants to ensure stability.

Left narrative

It's utterly unacceptable that Macron has decided to go over the heads of the popular vote and appoint the conservative Michel Barnier with the support of the far-right, despite the left-progressive New Popular Front emerging as the clear winner in the latest snap elections. Yet again, Macron has shown his blatant disregard for democracy.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

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