Macron vows to tackle ‘scourge of infertility’ and boost the economy
The TelegraphJan 16
France to Reform Parental Leave as Birth Rates Drop
The Facts
French Pres. Emmanuel Macron said on Tuesday that his government will overhaul the current parental leave system to revive the country's birth rate.
France registered 678K births in 2023 — the lowest figure since 1946. The nation's average birth rate is 1.68 children per woman, down from 1.79 in 2022.
The Spin
Narrative A
France is taking immediate measures to stem the decline in the country's birth rate, even though, at 1.68 children per woman, it still has the highest fertility rate in Europe. Pres. Macron must be applauded for aiming to "re-arm French fertility," as the country can’t afford to go through a demographic collapse right now.
Narrative B
France, like the rest of Europe, has witnessed a healthy demographic transition since the French Revolution. While the reason for the change has been largely religious, the country enjoys considerable economic benefits of having fewer people. Lower fertility has meant rising living standards, which has kept France a strong nation. Macron's motivation for this policy change is not only economic — it's a political reaction to immigration.
Nerd narrative
There's a 5% chance that Emmanuel Macron will cease being President of France before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.