German Military Document: NATO Preparing for Russian Attack in 2025

German Military Document: NATO Preparing for Russian Attack in 2025
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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Although the US and its Western partners are doing everything they can to prevent Russian aggression in Ukraine, they must prepare for the scenario that Russia will hit somewhere they're not expecting: the Suwałki Gap, near the borders of Poland and Lithuania. This is the next logical step of Putin's imperial ambitions.

Pro-Russia narrative

It was NATO, not Russia, that announced a buildup of military forces in Lithuania. This escalation threatens Russia's Kaliningrad region, therefore Russia must respond accordingly to ensure its people are protected. As always, the US and the West are carrying out provocations and then blaming Russia for the consequences.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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