Iceland: State of Emergency Declared After Volcanic Eruption

    Iceland: State of Emergency Declared After Volcanic Eruption
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    The Facts

    • A state of emergency was declared in Iceland on Thursday after flowing lava from the latest volcanic eruption damaged pipes, leaving as many as 20K people without hot water in the southern Reykjanes Peninsula region.

    • It was the third eruption of its kind since December, and reportedly spewed lava as high as 80 meters (260 ft) from a 2-mile (3 km) crack.


    The Spin

    Narrative A

    These latest eruptions are fully in line with the science and the related modeling, which thankfully foresaw these events coming. We expect to see a series of small, relatively short-lived eruptions down the line, and these incidents could go on for decades if not centuries.

    Narrative B

    While Iceland is well versed in dealing with volcanic eruptions, many are still in shock that this geologic system appears to have come to life again. The people of Grindavik are slowly coming to terms with the prospect that they may never be able to live in their homes again.


    Metaculus Prediction


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