Iran, Sudan Exchange Ambassadors After Eight-Year Thaw

Iran, Sudan Exchange Ambassadors After Eight-Year Thaw
Above: Men wave flags and shout slogans during a Day of Resistance protest on November 13, 2021 in Omdurman, Sudan. Image copyright: Abdulmonam Eassa/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Iran narrative

The diplomatic rapprochement and the ambassadors' return are an encouraging signal for war-torn Sudan. Contrary to Western media reporting, Tehran's main objective is to support Khartoum in ending the proxy war in its own country and gaining absolute independence from foreign powers and their interests. Iran's strategic policy attaches great significance to the concerns of Muslim nations. By restoring diplomatic ties, Sudan's official government gains a powerful partner on its path to establishing peace.

Anti-Iran narrative

While it's good news when countries re-establish diplomatic relations, the Sudan-Iran case differs. Iran is fueling the conflict in Sudan by supplying the national army with drones — and there are indications that Tehran is supplying both parties to the conflict with weapons. Iran isn't interested in ending the conflict, and the revitalization of diplomatic relations with the defacto government primarily serves Tehran's geostrategic goal of establishing a foothold in Africa and the Red Sea at the expense of Sudan.

Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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