How To Solve Japan’s “Tsunami Problem”?
TrincollJan 01
Japan: 57 Killed in Powerful Earthquake
The Facts
As of Tuesday, at least 57 have been killed in the 7.6-magnitude earthquake that struck near the Noto Peninsula in Japan's Ishikawa Prefecture on New Year's Day, leaving many trapped in collapsed buildings and at least 32K homes without power.
As giant sea waves were recorded in some areas, tsunami warnings were issued for the coast of the Sea of Japan. Since multiple aftershocks continued to hit the country throughout the day, thousands of residents were asked to evacuate to higher ground. The tsunami warnings along some of Japan's western coast were lifted Tuesday.
The Spin
Narrative A
A seismically vulnerable nation, Japan's tsunami solution is mostly still a work in progress, with no single-point answer yet on the horizon. There remains much to learn, and existing countermeasures are constantly being refined and improved. Strategic location of buildings, vegetation, seawalls, buffer zones, and tsunami warning zones are only some of the steps the nation has already taken, besides developing strong government-public coordination and understanding.
Narrative B
Prevention and precaution are, of course, the touchstones of any disaster management policy. Nevertheless, that doesn't take away from the need to prepare for the aftermath. Japan's 2011 experience has taught the nation that laying a plan for eventualities is paramount. Be it creating business continuity blueprints or pre-arranged agreements with private and public institutions to coordinate and manage rescue and resettlement, more needs to be done.
Nerd narrative
There's an 18% chance that there will be a tsunami that kills at least 50K people before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.