Japan GDP unexpectedly shrinks, loses spot as 3rd-largest economy
Nikkei AsiaFeb 15
Japan Slips Into Recession, Loses Spot as World's No. 3 Economy
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The Facts
The Japanese economy declined in Q4 last year due to four-decade high inflation and a weak yen despite projections of moderate growth, pushing the country into a technical recession after economic contraction was reported in two straight quarters.
According to the latest data from Japan's Cabinet Office, its GDP fell by 0.4% in the final three months of 2023, compared to a year earlier, after shrinking by 3.3% in Q3.
The Spin
Narrative B
There's room for optimism in Japan, as available data for the current quarter indicates a potential recovery based on exports and on private consumption since inflation is stabilizing and wages are expected to grow.
Nerd narrative
There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by March 27, 2043, according to the Metaculus prediction community.