Puerto Rico: Gov. Pierluisi Loses Primary

Puerto Rico: Gov. Pierluisi Loses Primary
Above: 2019: Puerto Rico interim governor Pedro Pierluisi answers questions during a press conference on his first day in the government's mansion Image copyright: Angel Valentin/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin


Narrative A

Pierluisi may have had some success rebuilding the island after Hurricane Maria and boosting tourism, but González enamored herself to voters with a message about cracking down on corruption, revamping the healthcare industry, and combating the surge in violence against women. Together with her strong desire to make Puerto Rico a US state, these priorities will make her a successful next governor.


Narrative B

It doesn't matter who wins in Puerto Rico because it's always run by a "uniparty" that prioritizes the desires of its masters in Washington over the needs of the people. While US intelligence agencies have successfully suppressed pro-independence parties in the past, a new coalition of anti-establishment voices is emerging. It won't be easy, but groups like the Citizens’ Victory Movement are gaining popularity.


Metaculus Prediction


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