US held secret talks with Iran – FT
Global Village SpaceMar 14
Report: US, Iran Held Secret Talks Over Red Sea Attacks
The Facts
According to a Wednesday report citing unnamed American and Iranian officials in the Financial Times, the US has held secret talks with Iran urging Tehran to rein in Houthi attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea.
The delegations at the Oman-brokered talks in January were reportedly led by the Biden administration's Middle East adviser Brett McGurk, US special envoy to Iran Abram Paley, and Ali Bagheri Kani, Iran's deputy foreign minister and chief negotiator at the nuclear talks.
The Spin
Pro-Iran narrative
Continued attacks by the Houthis confirm what Tehran has been saying all along — the Shiite Yemeni group may be politically linked to Iran but it's acting independently. Iran, however, is willing to support the US in its attempt to find a diplomatic solution to instability in the region, if it has finally accepted that it can't win militarily in this case.
Anti-Iran narrative
The failure of these talks proves Tehran is deliberately seeking escalation, believing it will bolster its regional clout. The Houthis rely on Iran politically and militarily, and are just one of the proxies Tehran is using to destabilize the region. The US is willing to use diplomatic channels — in addition to military deterrence — if Iran is open to more talks.
Nerd narrative
There's an 11% chance that the US and Iran will be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.