Russia and Ukraine Exchange Hundreds of Prisoners in Largest Swap of the War

Image copyright: Ukraine's Presidential Press Office

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine was able to retrieve 230 of its soldiers as well as several civilians as a result of this prisoner swap. Kyiv is eternally grateful for all they have given to their homeland. Ukraine will always fight to bring back anyone who's illegally taken into Russian captivity.

Pro-Russia narrative

After months of Moscow returning prisoners of war to Ukraine, Russia was finally able to retrieve 248 of its soldiers as a result of this prisoner swap. This followed complicated negotiations, mediated by the United Arab Emirates, so they are thanked for bringing this deal to fruition.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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