SKorea: President Faces Travel Ban After Martial Law Attempt

SKorea: President Faces Travel Ban After Martial Law Attempt
Above: People watch a TV news report on the case of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol at a train station in Seoul, South Korea, on Dec. 9, 2024. Image copyright: Daniel Ceng/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Yoon's decision to impose martial law turned out to be a serious mistake, leading to significant turmoil within the political system. In an effort to maintain government stability and prevent further chaos, the ruling party suggested that Yoon remain president while delegating some of his powers to others. This strategy allows for a controlled transition of power — especially during a time of high regional tensions.

Establishment-critical narrative

The arrangement to keep Yoon in office while transferring his powers constitutes an unconstitutional soft coup that undermines fundamental democratic principles. This represents a second attempt to erode civilian rule, following the unsuccessful declaration of martial law. Holding onto power and refusing to impeach Yoon amounts to a "second coup" and must not be tolerated.

Metaculus Prediction


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