Solomon Islands Awaits Vote Count After Closely Watched Elections

Solomon Islands Awaits Vote Count After Closely Watched Elections
Image copyright: Chris Jackson/Staff/Chris Jackson Collection via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Ballot counting began in the Solomon Islands on Thursday, marking the start of a long process that will culminate with a new 50-member parliament selecting a prime minister behind closed doors.

  • The vote held on Wednesday has been closely watched abroad due to its potential ramifications for regional security, as this is the first time citizens have been able to cast a ballot since a security pact with China was signed in 2022.

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

China's growing influence in the Pacific is a major threat to regional safety. If Sogavare achieves an unprecedented second term, then the archipelago will strengthen its ties with Beijing — otherwise, the nation will change its global path. Beyond geopolitics, democracy in the Solomon Islands could also be at risk if Sogavare wins.

Pro-China narrative

To counteract China's regional influence, the US may try to steal the election in the Solomon Islands through so-called democracy promotion operations. The American embassy in Honiara has, of course, denied any involvement and called accusations against it disinformation — but isn't this election a textbook example of how the US meddles in other nation's affairs?

Metaculus Prediction

Go Deeper

Establishment split



Sign up to our daily newsletter