Biden hails ‘America’s comeback’ as 303,000 new jobs in March beat forecast
GuardianApr 05
US Job Growth Spikes, Unemployment Falls to 3.8%
The Facts
US employers exceeded expectations in March, adding 303K more nonfarm jobs, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.8%.
The rise beat Dow Jones' estimate of 200K job additions, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Average hourly earnings rose 4.1% from a year ago.
The Spin
Democratic narrative
Biden can celebrate this significant achievement, marking the 39th consecutive month of job growth. During his presidency, 15M jobs have been created — starkly contrasting with the crisis he inherited. Now he must project his message to the masses to bolster his reelection chances.
Republican narrative
Biden shouldn't celebrate too much, because there are still larger problems underpinning the economy, exacerbated by his administration's failed policies. Long-term projections foresee budget deficits growing steadily, and attribute much to his ongoing public spending splurges.
Nerd narrative
There's a 47% chance that the US unemployment rate will be above 4% in November 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.