Political arrogance wiped out US influence in Africa
Daily SabahMar 20
US Military Official: Washington 'Engaged With West African Juntas'
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The Facts
The United States remains involved in Niger and Chad despite troop withdrawals, Gen. Michael Langley, the head of the US Africa Command, has said.
The US' "ultimate goal" was to foster communication with nations taken over by juntas and guide the leaders "on a roadmap back to democracy," according to Langley.
The Spin
Establishment-critical narrative
Dissatisfaction with Western influence in Africa has led to African states like Niger turning to new allies like Russia. There's a strong desire to eliminate neocolonial policies and thus diversify who African nations choose to cooperate with in a multipolar world. The Western nations' harsh reactions to such a tendency haven't helped either. This shift has reshaped alliances in the Sahel region, potentially impacting stability and counterterrorism efforts.
Pro-establishment narrative
Russia's problematic assertive strategy in Africa, amidst the rising importance of the Global South, exposes challenges in governance and hints at great power competition on the continent. Russia's influence, which aims to reduce Western influence and promote authoritarian rule, signifies a larger strategy of exploiting conflicts for economic and political gains in the region. This underscores the need for a coordinated Western strategy and recognition of Africa's significance in a rules-based order.
Nerd narrative
There's a 70% chance that Niger will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.