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Voting Falls in Phase 5 of India Elections to 60.3%

  • #Politics
  • #India
  • #Electoral systems
  • #South Asia
Voting Falls in Phase 5 of India Elections to 60.3%
story
MAY 2024
Above: Kashmiri women voters queue up to cast their ballots at a polling station during the fourth phase of voting in India's general election on May 13, 2024 in Srinagar, Indian administered Kashmir, India. Image copyright: Yawar Nazir/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated MAY 2024

The Spin

Narrative A

India's vast size and complex logistics require extended election durations. The current election, the second longest, spans 39 days with seven voting phases from April 19 to June 1. With 969M registered voters — including 18M first-timers and 197 million in their 20s — India’s electorate exceeds the population of the EU's member states. Voting duration has varied historically, taking four months in 1951-1952 and four days in 1980.

Associated Press

Narrative B

The extended election campaign favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi, giving him more time to campaign and leveraging his party's better funding. "Digital India," India's much-vaunted program proclaiming its tech prowess, could expedite the process. However, the protracted voting period benefits Modi, enabling him to travel and campaign more, particularly in states where his party, the BJP, faces strong opposition. This has significant political implications.

ft.com

Metaculus Prediction


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India’s multi-phase election will stretch over 44 days. Here’s why it takes so long
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