Germany: AfD Leads Polls as Merz's Approval Rating Falls

Germany: AfD Leads Polls as Merz's Approval Rating Falls
Above: Alice Weidel in Berlin, Germany on July 20, 2025. Image copyright: ODD ANDERSEN/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Germany’s democracy depends on rejecting the AfD’s extremist agenda. The party thrives on division, disinformation and undermining institutions, tactics that threaten stability at home and credibility abroad. However imperfect, the current CDU/CSU-SPD coalition offers a path of pragmatic governance as it stands as the firewall protecting Germany’s democratic future.

Government-critical narrative

Friedrich Merz’s first 100 days confirm what many feared: more empty establishment promises while Germany’s problems deepen. From soaring energy costs to rising crime and failed migration reforms, his coalition has delivered stagnation, not solutions. No wonder voters are turning to the AfD, the only party willing to challenge the status quo and put German interests first.

Metaculus Prediction



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.14.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.14.0