PM Al-Sudani's Coalition Wins Iraq Elections

PM Al-Sudani's Coalition Wins Iraq Elections
Above: Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani speaks in Baghdad on April 22, 2024. Image copyright: Thaier al-Sudani/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Al-Sudani's victory represents another milestone in Iraq's growing independence from foreign interference and validates the country's profound democratic progress. The impressive 56% voter turnout contrasts previous low records and demonstrates renewed faith in the electoral system. This mandate strengthens Iraq's ability to resist American pressure and pursue policies that truly serve Iraqi interests rather than Washington's agenda.

Government-critical narrative

Al-Sudani's "democratic" win masks Iraq's continued domination by Iranian proxies and corrupt power brokers who manipulate elections behind the scenes. Despite higher turnout, the same sectarian politicians and U.S.-sanctioned terrorist groups like Kataib Hezbollah secured parliamentary seats. The system remains rigged to benefit Tehran's interests while ordinary Iraqis suffer from endemic corruption and failed governance.

Establishment-critical narrative

The ghosts of 2003 refused to fade in this most recent election. The U.S. invasion, built on fabricated threats, dismantled a state and unleashed cycles of violence still shaping Iraqi politics. Now, Baghdad’s move to repeal wartime laws marks a quiet defiance — a declaration of sovereignty against a power that once claimed to bring "freedom." The so-called U.S. withdrawal isn’t an ending, but the slow unraveling of a failed illusion of empire.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.2