Argentina's GDP Grows 5.8% in Q1

Argentina's GDP Grows 5.8% in Q1
Above: Argentine Economy Minister Luis Caputo and Argentine President Javier Milei on April 14, 2025. Image copyright: Juan Mabromata/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Javier Milei's economic reforms are delivering spectacular results, with Argentina even outpacing China's growth rate. This Q1 expansion proves that fiscal discipline and free-market policies work better than the populist disasters of previous administrations. Investment is booming at 31.8% growth, showing business confidence in the new direction.

Government-critical narrative

This GDP growth is actually below forecasts, and does little to help Argentina to tackle its serious structural problems — tens of thousands of formal jobs have been lost since Milei took office and austerity measures have frozen wages and devastated the public sector. If the economy pick-up fails to seep through to the job market, then only a few will benefit from it.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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