US Cancels Major Nevada Solar Project
The Spin
Republican narrative
Solar and wind energy are expensive disasters that destroy landscapes and kill wildlife while making electricity costs skyrocket. Countries with massive renewable investments like Germany pay triple what Americans pay for power, proving these intermittent sources need costly fossil fuel backup that makes them far more expensive than advertised. Smart developing countries are choosing reliable coal over unreliable renewables because they can't afford the green energy lie.
Democratic narrative
Despite global momentum toward renewables, Trump's America retreats into fossil fuel dependence. The administration systematically dismantles Biden-era climate incentives, phases out crucial tax credits, and stifles solar and wind development through bureaucratic obstruction. While China installs more renewable capacity than the rest of the world combined, the United States risks becoming an industrial relic, frozen in its mid-twentieth-century energy paradigm as the world advances.
Narrative C
Despite the Trump administration's hostility toward renewables, the clean energy sector continues to flourish. Solar and battery installations are reaching record levels in 2025, comprising 81% of new power capacity. Major investors like Brookfield and Blackstone have raised billions for transition funds, while surging electricity demand — particularly from data centers — ensures renewable energy remains essential and economically compelling.
Metaculus Prediction
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