COVID-19 Surges Across Asia as Hong Kong Hits One-Year High

COVID-19 Surges Across Asia as Hong Kong Hits One-Year High
Above: Pedestrians in Hong Kong, China, on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Image credit: Paul Yeung/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Positive test results for COVID-19 in Hong Kong increased dramatically, from 6.21% to 13.66%, in the week ending May 10, marking the highest level in a year. Over the past four weeks, 30 deaths were recorded among 81 severe adult cases.
  • Singapore reported a 28% spike in COVID-19 cases, with 14,200 infections recorded in the week ending May 3. This was accompanied by a 30% increase in hospitalizations, prompting the first major update from health authorities in nearly a year.
  • The surge is attributed to waning immunity and evolving virus strains. Hong Kong's predominant variant shifted from JN.1 to XDV in late March, while Singapore's cases are primarily driven by LF.7 and NB.1.8 variants.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

The current COVID-19 surge shows that the virus remains a significant public health threat requiring immediate attention. The sharp increase in cases, particularly among vulnerable populations, highlights dangerous gulfs in vaccination coverage. Increasingly high positivity rates and rising hospitalizations indicate that relaxed attitudes toward boosters and preventive measures have exposed communities to new waves of infection.

Narrative B

The impact of COVID-19 has significantly diminished compared to previous years, with the vast majority of cases now being mild and manageable. The virus has become endemic, with periodic waves expected as part of the new normal. Despite rising cases, severe outcomes and deaths remain lower than they were previously, suggesting improved population immunity and less dangerous variants.


Metaculus Prediction

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.0