ECB Cuts Interest Rates As Inflation Falls to 2.2%

ECB Cuts Interest Rates As Inflation Falls to 2.2%
Above: President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Christine Lagarde at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, April 17, 2025.  Image copyright: Liesa Johannssen/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

As inflation eases and the ECB lowers interest rates, the EU economy shows signs of resilience in a volatile global landscape. While the U.S. shifts towards volatile unilateralism, the EU is proving it can lead with rules, stability, and cooperation. With strong institutions and a clear vision, Europe is well-placed to anchor a fairer international economic order.

Opposition narrative

The European economy is stagnating, not stable. Growth is weak, investment is falling, and inflation in core sectors such as services remains stubborn. Since the ECB’s last meeting, Trump has torn up the global status quo, yet policymakers remain safe in their decision-making. With trade tensions rising, timid action won’t cut it. The ECB must apply drastic rate reductions to push growth before it is too late.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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