Ecuador on 'Maximum Alert' Over Alleged Plot to Kill President Noboa

Ecuador on 'Maximum Alert' Over Alleged Plot to Kill President Noboa
Above: Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa and his wife, Lavinia Valbonesi, gesture from a balcony of the Carondelet Presidential Palace during the changing of the guard ceremony in Quito on April 15, 2025. Image copyright: Rodrigo Buendia/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

The assassination plot allegations represent a serious threat to Ecuador's national security and democratic stability, requiring immediate preventive action and enhanced security measures to protect government officials and critical infrastructure from criminal organizations working with political opponents.

Opposition narrative

The government's claims about assassination plots serve as a political distraction from legitimate concerns about electoral irregularities and the use of state resources during the campaign, while also providing justification for potential suppression of opposition voices.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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