Hurricane Melissa Makes Landfall in Cuba, 25 Dead in Haiti

Hurricane Melissa Makes Landfall in Cuba, 25 Dead in Haiti
Above: A family salvages belongings from the rubble of their home in Santiago de Cuba on Oct. 29, 2025. Image copyright: Yamil Lage/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Despite the threat of Hurricane Melissa, Caribbean islands are using innovative debt-for-climate financing to build resilience without crushing debt burdens. Some nations are converting debt into climate-safe investments and launching funds to build stronger infrastructure and cut reliance on external borrowing. Barbados just secured $125 million in savings through groundbreaking partnerships, creating a replicable model for climate adaptation across the Caribbean.

Narrative B

As Hurricane Melissa bears down on the Caribbean, island nations already reeling from climate-fueled disasters face crushing debt. They remain trapped in a devastating cycle where climate disasters pile on more debt while wealthy countries abandon their climate commitments. Hurricane Melissa exposes how $300 billion in mostly-loan pledges falls drastically short of the $1 trillion needed annually and how many small islands are forced into high-cost borrowing just to rebuild.

Climate-skeptic narrative

While Hurricane Melissa is undeniably powerful, it is an outlier in a long record of tropical systems rather than a clear signal of human-driven climate change. Natural variability, cyclical ocean-atmosphere patterns and historical extremes that pre-date significant anthropogenic influence all play major roles. Allocating vast sums to climate adaptation now risks misplaced priorities while climate alarmism hinders objective analysis of situations such as this.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies




© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.2