India, Pakistan Announce Tit-for-Tat Measures After Kashmir Terror Attack

India, Pakistan Announce Tit-for-Tat Measures After Kashmir Terror Attack
Above: Indian Border Security Force personnel and Pakistani Rangers (in black) perform the daily retreat ceremony at the India-Pakistan border post on July 13, 2024. Image copyright: Muhammed Semih Ugurlu/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The terror attack is a direct challenge to India's sovereignty and security measures in Kashmir and requires a strong diplomatic and military response against Pakistan-sponsored terrorism. The targeting of innocent tourists highlights the brutal nature of cross-border terrorism that has made Kashmir a hotbed for Islamist jihad and validates India's concerns about Pakistan's role in destabilizing the region.

Narrative B

Pakistan has no involvement in the attack and India's response is hasty and immature. The suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty and other punitive measures are disproportionate reactions taken without evidence. Pakistan will protect its national interests at all costs, and India's irresponsible statements will receive a firm, proportional, and effective response.

Narrative C

The picture that the Indian government tries to paint — of normalcy and development in occupied Kashmir — is a myth. Beneath the region's scenic beauty is a harsh reality — New Delhi's brutal military occupation and oppression of the entire Muslim population. The April 22 attack is a reminder that popular sentiment can't be ignored just because it doesn't align with the nationalist narrative.

Metaculus Prediction


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