Madagascar: Coup Leader Names New Prime Minister

Madagascar: Coup Leader Names New Prime Minister
Above: Michael Randrianirina at the High Constitutional Court building in Antananarivo, Madagascar, on Oct. 17, 2025. Image copyright: Rafalia Henitsoa/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Madagascar's military takeover is a legitimate response to decades of French neo-colonial exploitation and corrupt governance. The youth-led protests exposed how France continues to plunder Madagascar's resources while keeping the population impoverished through colonial economic structures that export raw materials and import expensive finished goods.

Narrative B

The military coup hijacked a genuine youth movement demanding basic services like water and electricity. Young activists who risked their lives protesting corruption now find themselves sidelined by Colonel Randrianirina, who promises consultation but makes unilateral decisions about Madagascar's future.

Narrative C

The coup in Madagascar is an illegal seizure of power that defies the Constitution and the Lomé Declaration. By ousting President Rajoelina through military force, the army has plunged the nation into turmoil. The African Union's suspension is justified—and the appointment of the new Prime Minister is null and void.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0