Former Thai PM Thaksin Acquitted in Royal Defamation Case

Former Thai PM Thaksin Acquitted in Royal Defamation Case
Above: Thaksin Shinawatra (C) leaves the Criminal Court in Bangkok on Aug. 22, 2025. Image copyright: Manam Vatsyayana/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

This rare acquittal on lese majeste charges indicates that the Thai establishment — the king and the military — have realized that an alliance with Thaksin and his Pheu Thai party is key to preventing parliamentary efforts to scrutinize or reform the army and palace. This decision is politically motivated rather than based on legal merit.

Narrative B

Thaksin has been acquitted because the court found insufficient evidence against him in this case. This has nothing to do with the government or political calculations, and suggesting so is an attempt to violate the court's authority.

Metaculus Prediction


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.15.1

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.1