Ukraine Prepared to Give Up NATO Admission in Exchange for Security Guarantees

Is Zelenskyy finally accepting compromise, or is this a sleight of hand that Moscow will not fall for?
Ukraine Prepared to Give Up NATO Admission in Exchange for Security Guarantees
Above: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy pictured in London on Dec. 8, 2025. Image credit: Chris Ratcliffe/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

Successful peace talks are dependent on Zelenskyy's realisation that he is fighting a losing battle and must come to the table with compromise. Personal ego cannot sit above the national interest of Ukraine, and the U.S. will not fund another forever war. With luck, these talks are finally producing the consensus needed for Trump to deliver another long-lasting peace deal.

Pro-establishment narrative

With or without NATO membership, Ukraine's future as an independent, sovereign nation relies upon meaningful security guarantees being given by the U.S. and its partners. Without such an agreement years of Ukrainian bloodshed will be for nothing, and unless these conditions are met Ukraine must continue to fight for its survival.

Pro-Russia narrative

NATO membership has always been a primary example of Ukrainian and Western aggression that Russia has sought to neutralize. Abandonment of this policy goal, therefore, is in theory welcome but conditional on NATO membership not being replaced by an unsuitable alternative. Unfortunately, history shows that Zelenskyy's words can rarely be trusted.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.1

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.1