US Measles Cases Hit 33-Year High

US Measles Cases Hit 33-Year High
Above: Signs point the way to measles testing on Feb. 27, 2025 in Seminole, Texas. Image credit: Jan Sonnenmair/Getty Images

The Facts

  • According to data released by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Outbreak Response Innovation on Monday, the U.S. has recorded 1,277 measles cases as of July 4, the highest annual tally since 1992 and surpassing the previous record of 1,274 cases set in 2019.
  • Texas leads the outbreak with 790 confirmed cases, including major clusters in Gaines County (414 cases), Terry County (60 cases), and Lubbock County (53 cases). The outbreak primarily affects Mennonite communities with low vaccination rates.
  • Approximately 92% of measles cases occurred in people who were either unvaccinated or had unknown vaccination status, while only 4% had received one MMR dose and 4% had received two doses, according to CDC data through July 2.

Sources Split


The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

This measles outbreak is a predictable consequence of declining vaccination rates and growing vaccine hesitancy. Communities with low immunization coverage create dangerous pockets where highly contagious diseases can spread rapidly. The 92% unvaccinated rate among cases indicates that vaccines are effective when people receive them.

Establishment-critical narrative

The current outbreak highlights legitimate concerns about vaccine mandates and medical freedom. Many families are making informed choices about their children's healthcare based on personal beliefs and community values. Public health officials should prioritize education over coercion to address vaccination concerns.


Metaculus Prediction

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.18.2

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.2