Von der Leyen Survives Historic Dual No-Confidence Votes

Von der Leyen Survives Historic Dual No-Confidence Votes
Above: Ursula von der Leyen in Brussels, Belgium, on Oct. 9, 2025. Image credit: Omar Havana/Getty Images

The Facts

  • European Commission (EC) President Ursula von der Leyen survived two no-confidence votes on Thursday. The motions were defeated in the European Parliament by 378-179 and 383-133, respectively.
  • The motions were filed by Patriots for Europe and The Left groups, marking the first time two no-confidence motions were launched simultaneously in the European Parliament's history.
  • Both political groups criticized von der Leyen's trade agreements with the U.S. and the Mercosur bloc, with concerns about alleged unfavorable terms for European exporters and potential impacts on farmers.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

Von der Leyen's victory against dual no-confidence motions demonstrates her strong centrist coalition and political resilience. The overwhelming rejection of extremist challenges from both flanks proves mainstream European lawmakers recognize the dangers of destabilizing EU leadership during critical times. This historic defense against unprecedented simultaneous attacks solidifies her mandate and exposes the weakness of fringe opposition groups.

Narrative B

The comfortable survival masks deeper institutional problems as von der Leyen faces mounting criticism over lopsided trade deals and policy failures. Recent polling shows 52% view the EU-U.S. agreement as a humiliation for Europe, while repeated no-confidence votes signal growing polarization. Her mandate remains hamstrung by increasing dissatisfaction across the political spectrum despite centrist protection.


Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.17.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.17.1