Yemen: Saudi-Backed Forces Retake Key Provinces From UAE-Backed STC

Is Saudi Arabia defending Yemen's unity, or is it undermining peace by attacking former allies seeking self-determination?
Yemen: Saudi-Backed Forces Retake Key Provinces From UAE-Backed STC
Above: Pro-government tribal forces take control of several military sites belonging to the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC) in the city of Mukalla, Hadramawt province, Yemen, on Jan. 3, 2026. Image credit: Stringer/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces retook control of Hadramout and al-Mahra provinces in oil-rich southeastern Yemen from the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council, with government officials on Saturday announcing the recapture of "all military and security positions" in the region bordering Saudi Arabia.
  • At least 80 fighters from the Southern Transitional Council (STC) were killed, 152 wounded and 130 captured during clashes and air strikes since Friday, according to an STC military official, with most casualties resulting from Saudi-led coalition strikes on military camps.
  • Saudi Arabia's foreign ministry called for a conference in Riyadh to bring together southern Yemeni factions to discuss "just solutions to the southern cause," with the invitation issued by Yemen's internationally recognized government and welcomed by the Southern Transitional Council.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

Saudi Arabia's military action against the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council represents a necessary defense of state sovereignty and territorial integrity. The UAE's maritime empire strategy of backing separatist movements threatens regional stability and Saudi national security, particularly along its border with Yemen. Riyadh's commitment to a unified Yemen stands in stark contrast to Abu Dhabi's preference for fragmented states that serve narrow economic interests.

Narrative B

The Saudi-led offensive against southern forces has killed at least 80 fighters and wounded over 150 more, exposing Riyadh's willingness to use overwhelming military force against former coalition partners. Saudi air strikes on camps in Hadramawt represent an escalation that undermines dialogue and threatens to fracture the anti-Houthi coalition entirely. The kingdom's aggressive posture ignores legitimate southern grievances and the aspirations of millions seeking self-determination.


Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.17.1

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.17.1