Reports: SpaceX in Talks to Merge With xAI Ahead of Planned IPO

Is this a great strategic move or a scheme to subsidize a failing company with public funds?
Reports: SpaceX in Talks to Merge With xAI Ahead of Planned IPO
Above: Elon Musk in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 22, 2026. Image credit: Lian Yi/Xinhua/Getty Images

The Facts

  • SpaceX is reportedly in discussions to merge with xAI ahead of a planned public offering this year. Under the proposed structure, xAI shareholders would receive SpaceX stock in exchange for their holdings, with two Nevada-based entities established on Jan. 21 to facilitate the transaction.
  • SpaceX is also considering a potential merger with Tesla. The rocket company plans to go public sometime this year with a valuation likely above $1 trillion, making it the world's most valuable privately held company at $800 billion in a recent private share sale.
  • xAI was valued at $230 billion in November and raised $20 billion in an upsized Series E funding round this month, exceeding its $15 billion target. Tesla committed approximately $2 billion to xAI on Wednesday, following a similar $2 billion investment commitment from SpaceX last year.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

Combining SpaceX and xAI creates a vertically integrated powerhouse that positions America at the forefront of space-based AI infrastructure. With continuous solar energy powering orbital data centers and Starlink satellites already leveraging machine learning, this merger would deliver the operational efficiencies and capital-raising advantages that make perfect sense for dominating the future of computing and space technology.

Narrative B

This merger looks like an obvious scheme to prop up a failing AI company by attaching it to SpaceX before the IPO, forcing taxpayers and public market investors to subsidize xAI's losses. There's no clear rationale when xAI just raised $20 billion easily from private markets, and the whole thing reeks of using government-dependent SpaceX as a vehicle to extract public funds for Musk's struggling ventures.


Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.17.1