Narrative A

This announcement has reasserted the British royals' recent commitment to enhance transparency, particularly around health-related matters, even at the expense of their privacy. It's laudable that King Charles III has opted to reveal his medical condition to help millions suffering from similar issues.

Narrative B

Buckingham Palace's decision to provide sparse information about the monarch's diagnosis is fueling speculation about what kind of cancer King Charles III has been suffering from, as well as his condition. The palace has put itself in a difficult position going forward, needing to balance the interests of privacy and the demand for public transparency.

Nerd narrative

There's a 14% chance that King Charles III will abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Establishment-critical narrative

The children's unimaginable suffering and the humanitarian disaster unfolding in Sudan must be a wake-up call for all countries and institutions worldwide who take their "values" seriously. The international response has failed to provide assistance to the suffering population or hold warring parties accountable. Global indifference is costing lives, and Sudan is sad proof of the so-called international community's failure and double standards.

Pro-establishment narrative

The suffering of Sudan's children is indeed a scar on the conscience of the international community. However, the complexity and multi-layeredness of this crisis and the immense challenges it poses can't be underestimated. The UN is determined to launch its largest-ever humanitarian operation for Sudan to reach millions of displaced persons. With the international community's help, addressing at least the most acute suffering and developing long-term humanitarian solutions will be possible.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be at least 1.8 in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

The appointment of Bin Mubarak aims to appease donors to Yemen in the face of the Houthis' growing confidence within the region. The new prime minister is an enemy of the military group and a key figure in the establishment of the internationally recognized government, so his promotion allows a fresh opportunity to tackle continued domestic and international concerns.

Establishment-critical narrative

This change in leadership is likely a response to the disastrous economic collapse recently seen in areas under the rule of the Saudi-led coalition puppet government. But Bin Mubarak has a history of corruption, so it's hard to foresee any positive outcome unless the pro-coalition authorities completely revise their failed policies.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Yemen will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by Jan. 1, 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Israel narrative

The ties between UNRWA and Hamas have always been well-known and well-documented way before the Oct. 7 attacks. However, with UNRWA facilitating these disgusting antisemitic attacks on Israel — as the evidence undoubtedly shows — there can be no choice but to completely close down the organization.

Pro-Palestine narrative

While these are serious allegations against UNRWA, they have yet to be backed up by evidence so they shouldn't be taken at face value. Even if the claims are true, it would amount to just 0.04% of the agency's workers. Should 2.3M Palestinians, who face one of the worst humanitarian crises in modern history, face collective punishment for the alleged actions of such a small minority?

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that Israel will lift the blockade on electricity, food, gasoline, and medicine in Gaza by June 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Previous colliders like the Large Hadron Collider have brought us world-changing knowledge concerning what the universe is made of and how it works. However, for scientists to understand dark energy and matter, it will take decades of research and exponentially more energy to discover — quite literally — new physics. Lessons learned from past technological shortfalls and failures in resource and budget management will also help the world's physicists come together to build something more powerful than currently imaginable.

Narrative B

While the potential discoveries touted by CERN sound amazing, the billions of dollars in just starting costs are not worth a project that could very well lead to nothing. Since the 1940s, scientists have made incremental progress until they discovered the Higgs boson particle — which has established the Standard Model law of physics. What CERN wants to spend decades of work and billions of dollars investigating now — dark matter and dark energy — are things that currently have no evidence behind them and might not be possible to find. There are better uses of these massive funds.

Nerd narrative

There's a 51% chance that we will know what Dark Matter is before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

The UK has decided to take a cautious, research-based approach to tackle AI rather than a knee-jerk decision to pass laws. With the goal of becoming a world leader in AI technology, London must be careful not to overlegislate its technology sector, which would stifle innovation and its economic benefits. The UK also knows that the AI debate is still ongoing throughout the world, with governments and business leaders working to pinpoint the best response to this complex technology.

Establishment-critical narrative

The first draft of the UK's AI white paper was released almost a year ago, and still no concrete action has been taken. As the government spends £100M on thinking about AI, leaders in countries like Canada are proposing a billion-dollar program to create a government supercomputer to compete with private tech companies. While worries about overregulating too quickly are understandable, the UK's approach of doing nothing will neither boost innovation nor enhance safety.

Nerd narrative

There's a 15% chance that the AI world described by Scott Aaronson, specifically the AI-Dystopia scenario, will come to pass, according to the Metaculus community prediction.

Narrative A

Once considered an example of democracy in West Africa, Senegal is seeing an erosion of its democratic institutions as Pres. Sall postpones this year’s presidential election. In addition to his undemocratic decision to stay in power longer than his term allows him, Sall’s government has deployed riot police to teargas dissenters and has restricted internet access. Senegal must hold a free and fair election as scheduled, and Sall must leave when his term ends.

Narrative B

Pres. Sall put any speculation about running for a third term to bed months ago, and he made the difficult decision to move Senegal’s election in order to protect candidates who were unfairly removed from the candidate list. Sall has no desire to serve beyond his two terms and is only looking to strengthen Senegalese democracy for future generations. The president is committed to being transparent in everything he does, and his decision will allow voters to pick the candidate of their choice without bureaucratic meddling.

Nerd narrative

There's a 10% chance that Senegal will experience a successful coup d’etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

There's a reason that in the middle of his second term, Piñera's approval rating sat at 6% — making him one of the most unpopular presidents in world history, even compared to Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro. Chileans from across the political spectrum condemned him for his treatment of street protesters and failure to reform dictator Augusto Pinochet's constitution. Even his staunchest supporters understood that he was a political liability rather than a source of unity.

Narrative B

Following Piñera's first term, which was part of Chile's post-Pinochet economic revival, the two-term president once again pushed the country upward both economically and socially. While he did use justified use of force during violent times, he proved transparent by allowing the UN to visit Chile to investigate abuse of power claims. Piñera believed in using the government to give those at the bottom as much opportunity as those at the top — a legacy for which he should be remembered.

Narrative A

This is a major victory for labor justice and student-athletes who work tirelessly for their schools' programs, generating revenue without receiving compensation. The emergence of recent labor deals allows some athletes to earn money, but most NCAA athletes don't have a big enough following to do the same. Hopefully, a unionized Dartmouth basketball team will set a path for other programs to follow.

Narrative B

This decision could spell the end of the NCAA and college sports as we know them. These deals might not appropriately reward non-star players, but a broad interpretation of this ruling could mean that non-revenue sports teams could unionize and demand wages. This is a Pandora's box that shouldn't be opened.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that at least 12% of American workers will be represented by a labor union in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Anti-Trump narrative

In yet another crushing blow to Donald Trump, the DC appeals court ruled that the former president’s claim of immunity in his election subversion case is utterly bogus. Trump is desperate to pull out any trick in the book to delay his numerous trials and pardon himself if he somehow wins November’s election. Everyone knows that Trump was not acting out any executive duties while trying to overturn the 2020 election, and he can only hope to stall his inevitable prosecution. Trump will face justice soon enough.

Pro-Trump narrative

While Tuesday’s ruling completely ignores 250 years of protection for former presidents, it's unsurprising given the political bend of the judges. If you go back throughout history, former presidents have been shielded from prosecution, as they should be. However, none of our norms and rules apply to Trump, who continues to be attacked and persecuted by the biased establishment. Hopefully, the Supreme Court puts an end to this charade, allowing the American people to elect their top choice Trump.

Nerd narrative

There is a 40% chance that Donald Trump will be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.