Metaculus

Metaculus

Metaculus is a forecasting platform and community based in the United States that aggregates predictions on science, technology, politics, and other topics to generate probabilistic forecasts.

Election issues

All
MINIMAL REGULATIONSTRICT REGULATION
Where Do Candidates Stand on AI Regulation?
ELECTION ISSUE
UNIVERSAL HEALTH CAREMARKET-BASED HEALTH CARE
Where Do Candidates Stand on Health Care?
ELECTION ISSUE

Claims from Metaculus

Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 40% chance that OpenAI will file for an IPO by 2026."
Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 46.9% chance that the court issues a verdict that does not find that Altman, Brockman, or any OpenAI entity is liable on any of Musk's claims."
Metaculus
Metaculus"There is a 10% chance that China will attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community."
Home
Bias Split
Sources
Controversies

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!
AboutContact UsNewsletter ArchiveMedia
FAQGlossaryVerity EdPrivacy Policy
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.6.4

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.6.4