Controversy
Status:Open
Will Global Warming Be Limited to 1.5°C or "Well Below" 2°C?
UNLIKELYLIKELY
Claims
Michael MannKeeping global warming to 1.5C is "entirely doable" and "simply a matter of political willpower."Apr 02, 2021
Sheldon Whitehouse"At this point it is virtually certain we will blow through [the 1.5C] target."Mar 16, 2023
Jim Skea"Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, it will be impossible [to limit global warming to 1.5C]"Apr 04, 2022
Bill GatesWe won't have "extreme cases like of 4 degrees [Celsius] warming," but will "miss the 2-degree goal."Dec 01, 2023
Greta ThunbergThe EU "needs a minimum of 80% reduction by 2030" if it is to "stay within the carbon budget for the 2C limit."Feb 21, 2019
World Meteorological Organization"The chance of at least one year [in the next five] exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels is 24%."Jan 01, 2020
António Guterres'"On our current path... we will reach that 1.5-degree limit sometime in the 2030s."Mar 20, 2023
Greta Thunberg"[C]utting our emissions in half in 10 years only gives us a 50% chance of staying below 1.5 degrees."Sep 23, 2019
Simon Stiell"We are still nowhere near the scale and pace of emission reductions required to put us on track toward a 1.5C world."Oct 26, 2022
Michael Mann"The problem isn't physics, it's politics... [a]nd political obstacles can be overcome."Jan 18, 2024
António Guterres"Present trends are racing our planet down a dead-end 3C temperature rise."Nov 20, 2023
Myles Allen"To achieve a 1.5C world, we need to invest around 2.8% of global GDP into the energy system between now and 2050."Jul 28, 2021