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15 July 2025

Daily Newsletter

US Supreme Court Allows Trump Education Department Layoffs

Photo: J. David Ake/Getty Images

The Facts

  • The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday granted the Trump administration's request to lift a federal judge's injunction that had blocked mass layoffs at the Department of Education (DOE) , allowing the termination of approximately 1,400 employees to proceed while litigation continues.

  • The 6-3 decision split along ideological lines, with Justice Sonia Sotomayor writing a 19-page dissent joined by Justices Elena Kagan and Ketanji Brown Jackson, calling the majority's decision "indefensible" and warning it threatens constitutional separation of powers.

  • U.S. District Judge Myong Joun issued a preliminary injunction in May after finding that the Trump administration's "true intention is to effectively dismantle the department without an authorizing statute," which would prevent the agency from carrying out its statutory duties.

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The Spin

Republican narrative

This decision restores presidential authority over executive branch operations and removes judicial overreach that was blocking necessary government reforms. The Supreme Court correctly recognized that the president has constitutional authority to manage federal agencies and their staffing levels. These efficiency measures will redirect resources where they matter most — to students, parents, teachers, and the states, rather than federal bureaucracy.

Democratic narrative

The Court's decision allows the executive branch to dismantle a department established by Congress without proper authorization unlawfully. This mass firing will impede the department's ability to fulfill its statutory duties, harming students who depend on federal education programs and civil rights protections. The majority is either willfully blind to the constitutional implications or naive about the threat to separation of powers.

Nerd narrative

There's a 20% chance that the U.S. Department of Education will be dissolved before Jan. 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Pentagon Awards $200M AI Contracts to Four Tech Giants

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

The Facts

  • The Department of Defense's (DOD) Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office announced Monday it awarded contracts worth up to $200 million each to four major technology companies — Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, and xAI — to accelerate the agency's adoption of advanced AI capabilities for national security challenges.

  • xAI simultaneously launched "Grok for Government," a suite of AI products designed for federal agencies, with availability through the General Services Administration schedule, allowing any federal department, agency, or office to purchase xAI's frontier AI products.

  • According to the DOD, the Pentagon's initiative represents a commercial-first approach to AI adoption, with Chief Digital and AI Officer Dr. Doug Matty stating the technology will transform the Department's ability to "support our warfighters" and maintain strategic advantage over adversaries.

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

These Pentagon contracts represent a smart strategic investment in America's technological superiority. The Defense Department is rightfully partnering with the most innovative AI companies to maintain the U.S.' military edge over adversaries like China and Russia. These commercial partnerships will accelerate critical capabilities while leveraging proven private-sector innovation.

Establishment-critical narrative

Awarding a $200 million Pentagon contract to Musk's xAI for the Grok AI chatbot raises serious concerns about judgment in military partnerships. Grok's recent promotion of antisemitic content and extremist rhetoric highlights the risks of rushing into AI agreements without proper vetting. This could compromise national security and undermine confidence in the DOD's AI initiatives.

Nerd narrative

There is a 7% chance that five years after artificial general intelligence (AGI) arrives, an AI company will be a military power, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Meta to Invest 'Hundreds of Billions' to Build Superintelligence

Photo: Vincent Feuray/Hans Lucas/AFP/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced on Monday that he plans to invest "hundreds of billions of dollars" in artificial intelligence computing infrastructure. The company's first one-gigawatt data center mega-project — dubbed Prometheus after the Greek titan — is set to launch online in 2026.

  • A one-gigawatt data center consumes more power than about 750,000 standard homes. Zuckerberg said the company is building multiple multi-gigawatt clusters, including Hyperion, which will scale up to 5 gigawatts over several years and cover a significant portion of Manhattan's footprint.

  • Meta has launched Meta Superintelligence Labs, led by Alexandr Wang, following a $14.3 billion investment in Scale AI, to focus on developing artificial superintelligence that exceeds human intelligence capabilities.

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The Spin

Narrative A

Meta's massive AI investment represents necessary catch-up spending after falling behind competitors like OpenAI and Google. The company's open-source approach hasn't delivered the breakthrough results needed, and Zuckerberg's aggressive hiring and infrastructure push show a serious commitment to regaining leadership in the AI race.

Narrative B

This is another costly Meta moonshot that may not deliver returns, similar to the company's $60 billion metaverse spending since 2020, which has yielded no clear profits. The shift away from open-source models contradicts years of company philosophy, and the astronomical spending raises questions about the sustainability of its business strategy.

Techno-skeptic narrative

AI-driven data centers consume vast amounts of energy and water due to the high computational power required for training and operating large models. Cooling systems alone demand significant electricity and water to prevent overheating. As AI usage grows, so does its environmental footprint, and the need for more sustainable infrastructure and greener technologies increases — raising concerns about the toll of expanding digital infrastructure.

Techno-optimist narrative

AI-driven data centers are vital for powering advanced technologies that support healthcare, finance, research, and communication. They enable real-time data processing, large-scale model training, and global connectivity. As the backbone of AI innovation, these centers accelerate automation, enhance decision-making, and drive digital transformation across industries — making them essential for economic growth and technological advancement in the modern world.

Nerd narrative

There's a 75% chance that an oracle superintelligence will be developed before a general superintelligence, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Zelenskyy Nominates Svyrydenko as Ukraine's New Prime Minister

Photo: GENYA SAVILOV/AFP/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that he has nominated First Deputy Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko to serve as the country's new prime minister on Monday as part of a prospective government reshuffle.

  • Svyrydenko, 39, currently serves as deputy prime minister and minister of economic development, having led Ukraine's delegation in negotiations for the Ukraine-U.S. minerals exploitation deal signed in April.

  • The appointment requires approval from Ukraine's parliament, where Zelenskyy's Servant of the People party controls 231 out of 450 seats.

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The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Svyrydenko brings the proven economic leadership that Ukraine urgently needs. Her success brokering the U.S. minerals deal, and stewarding the economy through the war's darkest period, demonstrates exceptional diplomatic and economic skills. A focus on cutting bureaucracy, protecting businesses, and channeling resources toward defense is exactly what Ukraine needs.

Opposition narrative

Umerov's overdue dismissal exposes Ukraine's undemocratic governance crisis. An unelected government reshuffles loyalists while ignoring parliamentary oversight. Umerov's reward for catastrophic defense failures? A cushy ambassadorship where his family already lives. Ukraine's democracy dies when failed ministers face no consequences.

Nerd narrative

There is a 25% chance of a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

World's Oldest Marathon Runner, Fauja Singh, Dies at 114

Photo: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Fauja Singh, believed to be the world's oldest marathon runner, died on Monday at age 114 after being struck by an unidentified vehicle while crossing a road in his native village of Beas Pind near Jalandhar, Punjab, India.

  • Singh sustained severe head injuries in the hit-and-run accident on the Jalandhar-Pathankot highway Monday afternoon and was rushed to a hospital, where he died at 7:30 p.m. IST.

  • Born on April 1, 1911, Singh began marathon running at the age of 89 in 2000, after moving to London following the deaths of his wife and son. He completed his first London Marathon in six hours and 54 minutes.

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The Spin

Narrative A

Singh's remarkable journey from grief to global inspiration proves that age is just a number when it comes to human potential. His transformation from a devastated farmer who lost his son in a tragic accident to an international marathon sensation demonstrates the healing power of sport and determination. The fact that he started running at 89 and continued until 101 shows that it's never too late to pursue dreams and make a meaningful impact on the world.

Narrative B

While Singh's story is inspiring, the lack of official documentation raises questions about the validity of his age claims and the accuracy of his records. Guinness World Records refusal to certify his achievements due to missing birth certificates highlights the importance of proper verification in competitive sports. His inability to prove his exact age — despite having a British passport — highlights the challenges of validating historical claims without contemporary documentation.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the best marathon time completed before 2035 will be at least 7146 seconds, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Brazil's Chief Justice Responds to Trump, Denies Persecution of Bolsonaro

Photo: Evaristo Sa/AFP/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Brazilian Chief Justice Luís Roberto Barroso published an open letter on Sunday saying that reasons for the U.S. to impose a new tariff on all Brazilian goods are based on an "inaccurate understanding of the facts" as he asserted that "no one is being persecuted" and that there is no censorship in Brazil.

  • This comes as U.S. President Donald Trump announced in an open letter last week that starting on August 1, all Brazilian exports to the U.S. would face an additional 50% tariff over what he described as a "Witch Hunt" against former President Jair Bolsonaro and attacks on Americans' free speech rights.

  • The U.S. Under Secretary for Public Diplomacy Darren Beattie said on Monday that Trump's letter imposed "long-overdue consequences on [Justice Alexandre] de Moraes' supreme court and Lula's government for" attacks on Bolsonaro and freedom of speech, and warned that the U.S. will closely monitor the situation.

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The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Brazil is a sovereign and democratic nation, whose judicial system operates independently and in strict accordance with due process, so Trump's attempt to blackmail the country with economic retaliation in a bid to halt the prosecution of Bolsonaro is doomed to fail. If anything, this new tariff has actually exposed that the Bolsonaros are no patriots, but rather people who would attack their own country to try to save their skin.

Pro-establishment narrative

One may or may not fully agree with President Trump's tariffs. Regarding Brazil, there's indeed a potential risk that his decision to impose a new 50% tariff on the country's goods could backfire and strengthen Lula and Moraes' hand at home. However, Trump is not wrong when it comes to understanding the situation in Brazil as democratic norms and the rule of law in the country are collapsing due to the authoritarian Supreme Court overstepping its bounds to silence political criticism from the right.

Nerd narrative

There's a 32% chance that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

UK Reveals Secret £850M Afghan Relocation After Data Breach

Photo: Sean Gallup/Getty Images

The Facts

  • The U.K. government revealed Tuesday a secret £850 million ($1.1 billion) scheme to relocate thousands of Afghans after a February 2022 data breach exposed the personal information of nearly 19,000 people who had applied for British sanctuary, putting them at risk of Taliban reprisals.

  • Defence Secretary John Healey disclosed that approximately 4,500 Afghans — including 900 applicants and 3,600 family members — have been brought to Britain under the covert Afghan Response Route program, which was established in April 2024 following the data leak discovery.

  • The U.K. Ministry of Defence only discovered the breach in August 2023, over a year after it occurred when excerpts from the leaked dataset were posted anonymously on a Facebook group, prompting emergency government response measures.

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The Spin

Opposition narrative

This data breach represents a catastrophic government failure that endangered thousands of Afghan allies who risked their lives supporting British forces. The Ministry of Defence's careless handling of sensitive information put multiple lives at risk and damaged Britain's reputation for protecting those who served alongside U.K. troops. The unprecedented use of a "superinjunction" to hide this massive security failure from Parliament and taxpayers is an unconscionable assault on democratic accountability.

Pro-government narrative

The decision to seek a superinjunction was necessary to prevent further endangering Afghan lives by alerting the Taliban to the existence of leaked data. Ministers prioritized protecting vulnerable individuals from potential torture and murder over transparency, making the difficult choice to shield Parliament from information that could have increased risks to those already imperiled by the breach.

See sources

Grand Canyon Lodge Destroyed in Arizona Wildfire

Photo: Grand Canyon National Park/Getty Images

The Facts

  • The historic Grand Canyon Lodge on the North Rim has been destroyed by the Dragon Bravo Fire, which consumed between 50 and 80 structures, including visitor facilities, employee housing, and administrative buildings. The fire started from a lightning strike on July 4 and rapidly expanded due to hot temperatures, low humidity, and wind gusts up to 40 mph (64.4 kph).

  • Park officials initially managed the fire using a "confine and contain" strategy, but shifted to aggressive suppression as the blaze grew. The fire destroyed the only lodging facility inside the park at the North Rim, forcing the closure of the area for the remainder of the 2025 season.

  • Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs called for a federal investigation into the National Park Service's response, questioning the decision to manage the fire as a controlled burn during extreme heat conditions. Arizona Democratic U.S. Senators Ruben Gallego and Mark Kelly also demanded answers from the Interior Department.

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The Spin

Government-critical narrative

The federal government's reckless decision to treat this fire as a controlled burn during Arizona's driest, hottest summer conditions directly led to this catastrophic destruction. Officials had over a week to aggressively fight the fire but instead allowed it to explode in size. This preventable disaster demands a comprehensive investigation into the failed federal emergency response.

Pro-government narrative

Federal firefighters made responsible decisions based on real-time data and local conditions and established fire science protocols when initially managing the fire. The allegations of treating this as a controlled burn are completely inaccurate, as wildland fire experts understand the clear distinction between management strategies. The unpredictability of this fire required rapid tactical adjustments.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that at least 5.16 million acres will be burned by fires in the U.S. from January to August 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Lesotho Lawmaker Charged Over Accusing King of Ceding Sovereignty

Photo: LEONARDO MUNOZ/AFP/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Dr. Tshepo Lipholo, leader of the Basotho Covenant Movement and opposition Member of Parliament in Lesotho, faces criminal charges including sedition and undermining the monarchy after allegedly claiming King Letsie III signed over the country to become South Africa's 10th province.

  • The charges stem from remarks Lipholo allegedly made between April and June 2025 on social media platforms and radio interviews, where he accused the government of ceding national sovereignty and declared himself paramount chief of Basutoland, the country's colonial name.

  • Lipholo appeared in court Monday seeking bail, but the hearing was postponed until July 25, while he remains in police custody facing additional charges of violating the dignity and reputation of the royal family and inciting public violence.

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The Spin

Opposition narrative

This case represents legitimate concerns about historical injustices and the right of the Basotho people to reclaim territories unlawfully seized during colonial times. The people of Lesotho have a right to self-determination, and a broad majority wants to reclaim the land that belongs to them, as arbitrary borders impede the development of Africa.

Pro-government narrative

These charges are necessary to maintain national stability and respect for a constitutional monarchy, as Lipholo's inflammatory rhetoric threatens public order and undermines legitimate government authority. His territorial claims violate established African Union principles designed to prevent border conflicts, with the myth of colonial borders being the source of all of Africa's woes being a tired and inaccurate trope.

See sources

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14 July 2025

Ukraine weapons deal, new Bitcoin high and massive black hole merger

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16 July 2025

Israel Damascus strikes, US third-nation deportations and Apple magnets deal