Biden Vows to Defend Taiwan If China Attacks

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    The Facts

    • Pres. Biden said on Mon. that the US will respond militarily if Beijing were to try and take the self-governing island of Taiwan by force.

    • This statement stands in contrast to previous US presidents, who have historically adopted only vague warnings to China against attacking Taiwan, a policy dubbed "strategic ambiguity."

    The Spin

    Anti-China narrative

    The US' traditional strategy of ambiguity with regard to Taipei must be reformed in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Washington must make it clear that a Chinese attack would backfire, leading to the complete independence of Taiwan and the isolation of Beijing.

    Pro-China narrative

    The US is playing political games. Regardless, even if Washington were to abandon its commitment to the one-China policy, the declining nation has long since lacked the leverage to intimidate China.

    Nerd narrative

    There is a 5% chance that there will be a military conflict between the PRC (China) and ROC (Taiwan) before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

    Public figures in this story

    Establishment split



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