Biden must not apply the wrong Ukraine lessons to Taiwan’s situation
The HillMay 16, 2022
The Facts
Pres. Biden said on Mon. that the US will respond militarily if Beijing were to try and take the self-governing island of Taiwan by force.
This statement stands in contrast to previous US presidents, who have historically adopted only vague warnings to China against attacking Taiwan, a policy dubbed "strategic ambiguity."
The Spin
Pro-China narrative
The US is playing political games. Regardless, even if Washington were to abandon its commitment to the one-China policy, the declining nation has long since lacked the leverage to intimidate China.
Nerd narrative
There is a 5% chance that there will be a military conflict between the PRC (China) and ROC (Taiwan) before 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
