Though not directly linked to operations carried out by state police, Pres. Bolsonaro has influenced them by defending legal immunities for police officers and promoting security policies based on increased violence. As a result, there has been a surge in police massacres in impoverished areas in Brazil.
Despite being heavily criticized by the left, Bolsonaro's security policies have proved to be able to curb violence. It's no coincidence that after empowering police officers and granting them the right to self-defense, the homicide rate in Rio de Janeiro has fallen to an all-time low.
There's a 29% chance that Jair Bolsonaro will be president of Brazil by 2023, according to the Metaculus prediction community.