Day 286 Roundup: Further Strike in Russian Borders; ICC Prosecutor Opposes EU Plan for Ukraine Tribunal

    Photo: AP Photos [via AP News]

    The Facts

    • A day after two attacks hit airfields deep within Russia's borders, a further attack was reported in the border region of Kursk on Tuesday. Roman Starovoit, governor of the Kursk region, said: "An oil tank is on fire as a result of a drone attack near the Kursk airfield. There are no casualties."

    • Starovoit added that, following consultations with Russia's anti-terrorist commission, a decision was made to extend the region's yellow terror-threat level (meaning high) for a period of 15 days.

    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after an election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to rewrite history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.

    Nerd narrative

    There is a 12% chance that there will be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine by 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

    Establishment split



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