NATO Allies Sign Accession Protocols for Finland, Sweden

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    The Facts

    • NATO's 30 representatives on Tues. signed the accession protocols for Finland and Sweden, marking another step for them to become members of the alliance.

    • This comes after last week's formal invitation for them to join, as Türkiye dropped its objections. NATO leaders expect the final step - the ratification by all the members' legislatures - to move quickly.

    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    Russia's unprovoked war against Ukraine is pushing the two countries closer to NATO membership than ever before, and Moscow's threats against Finland and Sweden have backfired. As sovereign states, they're entitled to choose their own national security strategy and Russia's aggressiveness towards them simply pushes them toward NATO.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    Finland invaded Russia in 1941 together with German troops. NATO's land borders with the Russian Federation will more than double if Sweden and Finland join the alliance. NATO has ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification, and NATO's aerial bombing campaign against Yugoslavia in 1999 is proof of the organization's aggressiveness.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 50% chance that NATO will have at least 32 member countries by December 31, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

    Establishment split