Gaza Temporary Ceasefire Comes Into Effect

Gaza Temporary Ceasefire Comes Into Effect
Image copyright: Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

While freeing hostages is of the utmost importance, Israel must not succumb to unfair international pressure. Hamas has a history of forcing uneven deals, and the Israeli war cabinet made the right decision by weighing its options before accepting this temporary pause. It should remain clear, however, that Israel's ultimate goal is to eliminate Hamas from the Gaza Strip, and Jerusalem will continue to work toward this end.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Though the Israel Defense Forces have made steady progress on the ground, a tactical assault on Hamas to free the captives could lead to the deaths of many more. Israel has made a wise choice to bring its citizens home immediately through this temporary ceasefire. This will also see much-needed aid reach Gaza, where an utter humanitarian cataclysm is unfolding.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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