Pope Francis Undergoes Abdominal Surgery

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The Spin

Narrative A

Given the precedent of papal retirement established by Benedict XVI, it is feasible that Pope Francis could step down from his role due to ongoing health challenges. Though he has denied any intention to follow the path of his predecessor, Francis has previously alluded to having signed a letter that could trigger his medical resignation.

Narrative B

Pope Francis' physical health has undoubtedly declined with age, but he has demonstrated that he remains mentally fit to lead the Catholic Church. Under his moral guidance, the Holy See has pushed for greater liturgical uniformity and better representation among its high-ranked officials, all while fighting corruption. This mission of reform is not something Pope Francis should ever voluntarily step away from.

Metaculus Prediction


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