Belarus Holds Controversial Parliamentary Election

Belarus Holds Controversial Parliamentary Election
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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Given the history of authoritarianism under Lukashenko, it's reasonable to question election integrity. Following the 2020 election — which featured opposition participation — thousands of protesters were arrested or imprisoned, all opposition parties were banned from the next ballot, and the only politician who publicly criticized Lukashenko was forced into exile. This election needs to be deeply investigated.

Establishment-critical narrative

Western countries, including the US, should stay out of Belarusian affairs. The sovereign legislature of Belarus oversaw this lawful, free, and fair voting process, which — to the chagrin of the US Dept. of State — resulted in a win for pro-Belarus politicians. As the 2025 presidential election approaches, it would be best if the US and its allies refrain from criticizing the electoral process of an independent country.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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