China Alters Phrasing of Taiwan Stance

China Alters Phrasing of Taiwan Stance
Photo: Lintao Zhang/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • In a government report delivered Tuesday by Premier Li Qiang, China revised its stance on Taiwan — calling for a "reunification" rather than "peaceful reunification" — and proposed to boost defense spending by 7.2% — as much as it did last year.

  • This follows Taiwan's recent election, which gave the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) its third consecutive term. Beijing and Taipei have had no official communication since DPP's 2016 victory.


The Spin

Pro-China narrative

Of course the Western media is translating the dropping of the word "peaceful" as some sort of threat to Taiwan. But China is still committed to a peaceful reunification and this change in phrasing reflects the urgency with which China views the matter, not a change in policy.

Anti-China narrative

There's nothing innocuous about a rapidly militarizing China changing the tone of its official voice when it comes to Taiwan. Today's context, including Beijing's recent saber-rattling, makes this far more ominous than Beijing would have one believe. This change of language is deeply concerning.

Nerd narrative

There's a 40% chance that the People's Republic of China will have annexed at least half of Taiwan by Jan. 1, 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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