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Gallup: 2024 Election Environment Favors Republicans

  • #Politics
  • #Electoral college
  • #United States of America
Gallup: 2024 Election Environment Favors Republicans
story
SEP 2024
Above: Republican presidential nominee, former US President Donald Trump, departs a campaign rally at the Ed Fry Arena on Sept. 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.  Image copyright: Win McNamee/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
story last updated SEP 2024

The Spin

Republican narrative

This poll confirms that Americans don't want four more years of the disastrous Biden-Harris agenda and that the presidential election is Trump's to lose. Republicans haven't had such an advantage in decades, and not even the liberal media can ignore that.

Washington Examiner

Democratic narrative

Even if Gallup figures are correct, that's quite a logical jump to claim that these numbers indicate that the election environment favors Republicans. Several other polls put Harris ahead of Trump, and — perhaps most importantly — the average voter also expects her to win.

Washington Post

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris


The Controversies


KAMALA HARRISDONALD TRUMP
Status:Resolved
Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Controversy
SEP 25 2024SEP 25 2024

Go Deeper

US Electoral System Overview
Context
+12
SEP 2024SEP 2024
US Presidential Election 2024 Overview
Context
+17
SEP 2024SEP 2024
US Election: Trump v. Harris Pledges
Context
+5
AUG 2024AUG 2024

Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

Harris shows some gains and economic views brighten a bit — CBS News poll
CBSSEP 2024
From Washington: Polls, Popular Vote, & Countdown to the Presidential Election
FOX NewsSEP 2024