Kenyans Protest Disappearance of Government Critics

Kenyans Protest Disappearance of Government Critics
Above: Kenyan security forces intervened in demonstrators gathered to protest against the alleged abduction or disappearance of those critical of Pres. William Ruto and the government in Nairobi, Kenya on Dec. 30, 2024.  Image copyright: Samson Otieno/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Pres. Ruto was elected to help bring in a new era in Kenya, with his crackdown on peaceful protestors and tacitly accepted regime of abductions being a dark stain on his administration. The disappearance of nearly one hundred activists cannot go unnoticed by the global community, and Ruto must release all still held in custody.

Establishment-critical narrative

The president has listened to the voice of the people and has scaled back his tax reform efforts. Despite this, his administration continues to be assailed on all fronts by those who take their rights too far. Ruto has acknowledged that rogue actors are behind the abductions, and all parties must cooperate to restore order to Kenya.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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