Russia Arrests Fourth Defense Official on Bribery Charges

Russia Arrests Fourth Defense Official on Bribery Charges
Above: Russian officers, participants of the military invasion of Ukraine, march during the Victory Day parade at Red Square, May 9, 2024, in Moscow, Russia. Image copyright: Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

These arrests likely have little to do with corruption. Instead, Russian Pres. Putin is purging those in his military chain of command who he suspects of insufficient loyalty. A number of those arrested have previously voiced dissatisfaction with how the war in Ukraine is being waged.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russian Pres. Putin built his career on fighting corruption. He understands better than most that if this issue creeps into Russia's military, it could derail Russia's special military operation in Ukraine. That's why he's instructed prosecutors to pay this special attention and take the steps necessary to root out the problem.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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