Australian Election: PM Anthony Albanese Secures Second Term

Australian Election: PM Anthony Albanese Secures Second Term
Above: Anthony Albanese and fiancée Jodie Haydon during a visit to Rooke Street Mall shopping area in Devonport on May 2, 2025. Image copyright: Asanka Ratnayake/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Australian Labor Party narrative

Albanese's victory represents Australians' clear rejection of American-style divisive politics and preference for steady leadership during uncertain global times. The prime minister's firm stance against Trump's tariffs and commitment to Australian values resonated with voters who sought stability over the opposition's risky proposals. Labor's increased majority proves Australians want a government focused on affordable healthcare, housing accessibility, and climate action rather than nuclear power and public service cuts.

Liberal/National Coalition narrative

Albanese didn't win this election with merit — he rode to victory on the wave of anti-Trump sentiment sweeping across democratic nations, as the American president's erratic behavior and tariff threats spooked voters into sticking with the incumbent. This, combined with a series of lucky circumstances — like the popularity of Labor's state premiers and some Coalition missteps — offers a clearer picture of Saturday’s outcome. Yet, If the government doesn't address the cost-of-living crisis that's "killing people," voters will show no mercy next time.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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